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Spread betting on currencies



Enhance your trading skills : Free Market Analysis : Daily Commentary


Short term outlook currency spread bets: focus on Cable

[Posted on Sunday 02/08/09]

The currency markets look set for some strong moves over the next few weeks.

In the currency market analysis presented in the Market Timing Update sent out to subscribers on Wednesday evening (29th of July), I noted that there had been a real improvement in the technical evidence and highlighted that the medium term outlook had become more positive.

I concluded that analysis by stating that while things looked more bullish for the Cable, only a resolution of that long-running flattening top pattern either way would indicate that a new position was called for.

In other words, we expected a break above the upper horizontal resistance around 1.6580–1.6620 to lead to further upside while a breach of 1.6250 would herald a deeper selloff.


spread betting on currencies, british pound

Well as things stand, last Friday’s move of 216 pips gave us the break we had been awaiting. That strong move took the Cable to 1.6718 and now suggests further upside for the GBP.

Bottom-line:
The technical evidence suggests very strongly that the move above 1.6620 should herald a further advance in the Cable to at least 1.7250 in the medium term.

From current levels, the immediate upside target is 1.6850 and then the price band 1.7020–1.7050. As always, all bets should be protected with adequate stop losses.

Upside price target areas: 1.6850; 1.7020–1.7050; 1.7250
Price support areas to look for: 1.6620–1.6580; 1.6490–1.6520

As things unfold, more time-sensitive analysis would be presented in the Market Timing Update which details effective short term spread betting strategies.

Have a great week in the markets,

Alex.

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